Jason’s Weather: Storm Call 2/24/12

This week’s storm presents a rare case: a disturbance tracking to our west is going to produce a measurable snow storm. This is due in part to some redevelopment off the coast, but the primary driver of this event is a vigorous upper-level low.

upper level low

The map above is the surface forecast for 10pm tonight. Note the tightly wrapped low over Lake Ontario. As far as accumulations, the last model run has backed off the qpf and I’m calling for 2-4 inches of snow in the Catskills, 4-10 in the Adirondacks, and 6-12 along the top half of the Green Mountain spine in VT. Models are showing from .5-1 inches of liquid equivalent.

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It Finally Snowed in New York

When we arrived last night, the first thing I did was shovel the porch — it’s our record of what’s fallen since our last visit — so shoveling is a job I relish. The harder the effort the better.

Snow in New York.

This week’s haul was seven inches of snow, an inch of sneet, topped with another three inches of snow. It wasn’t the 18 inches of upslope blower that Vermont got, but it was perfect base-building snow for tree skiing, or any snow sport.

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Anticipating the Start of Ski Season

This November has been quite warm, but that’s not all that unusual. Eastern skiers often fret about the possible postponement of opening day, scheduled for Black Friday at many mountains. I looked back through early season posts to see what I was thinking in years past.

Colder temps forecasted.
A forecast from a different year

In November of 2009, while skiers in the western US were enjoying cold temps and fresh snow, eastern skiers were sweating it out. On November 22, I posted a 6-10 day temperature outlook from the National Weather Service that promised colder air for the east.

That year opening day at Gore featured only 250 feet of vertical. As usual, I had a good time, even though pickins were slim. The next day at Whiteface also opened a single run, but in true Whiteface style, that run featured 1500 feet of vertical.

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