Author: Jason

After a week of mild and tranquil weather, things are looking very interesting for the end of the week. Once again, there are big model differences. They all have a similar look, but their placements and intensities are different.

The NAM and GFS 12 1-4 both show a strong upper-level system dropping out of Central Canada into the Great Lakes. The NAM is stronger with this feature and moves it due south into Ohio. If the NAM went out to 90hrs, I bet there would be a nice low forming on the the Delmarv.

The GFS is similar, but keeps the upper feature more in Western NY and develops a slow-moving low further east.

Continue reading →

Dec 8: After having a great run of cold weather and significant snow for some areas, we have to deal with a bump in the road. The storm that is currently giving the Cascades huge amounts of snow will move into the Lower Ohio Valley and strengthen, then it will move up the Appalachians to Central NY and on into Canada.

This scenario would put much of the Adirondacks and New England on the warm side. After the low pulls away, Lake Effect and upslope snows will follow. For some areas, the snow will be heavy. In the storm’s wake, we’ll experience the coldest air of the season.

Continue reading →