Author: Jason

By now, we all know about the impending monsoon. This forecast is for Thursday and beyond. A negative NAO finally sets up, bringing cold air from East Central Canada into our neck of the woods, and keeping it here. Temps in the mountains will remain below freezing for at least one week. This should allow for round-the-clock snowmaking.

A byproduct of the block in the North Atlantic is cyclogenesis and you know what that means — a potential storm forming on the east coast. The GFS is showing exactly that in about eight days, but its precise track needs to be worked out.

All in all, I’m excited about this pattern.

Taking the the GFS at face value, the next 10 days don’t look promising. With ridging just off both the west and east coasts, all the cold air will be funneled right down the middle of the country.

This setup keeps the East in a southwest flow for many days. As time goes on, the ridge off the east coast should relax and allows a west-northwest flow, and more seasonable weather. At this time of year, confidence in temperature forecasting isn’t high, so things could still turn in our favor.