Seasonal T2M Forecast

We’ve had a hard time finding good news for eastern skiers. Finally, some. This chart is NWS’s best guess at how temps will compare to the long-term average in the crucial period Dec-Feb.

Long Term Weather Outlook 09/10

Disclaimer: We are not a meteorologists. We’re just skiers fascinated by the weather. And not coincidentally our stoke level — November through April — is affected by the weather. I’ve spent a lot of time searching the internet for meteorologists and people who know the weather and are willing to take a shot at something beyond the standard 5-day forecast.

For us — especially at this time of year — it’s all about temps. If we get our share of arctic air, snowmaking can begin, and precip will fall into place. This one is new to me: it’s an NOAA/NWS prediction of the next 6 months of the effect of El Nino on temps across the continent.

If we could get those Jan-Feb temps to verify, we’d take our chances with March and April.