DomB
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- Aug 25, 2020
forward.ny.gov shows the picture of Covid in a shocking and amazing fashion. Metro NY has been 2-4 weeks ahead of the rest of the country each waive.
The New Normal
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DomB
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Here's the link:
Harvey
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Here's the link:
Looking for something from another country where omicron is declining.
x10003q
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- Jul 21, 2020
I did the same thing, but 1 shot in each arm.
Harvey
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Omicron may have peaked or 'plateaued' in parts of the world, giving experts cause for optimism
There are early, tentative signs that the omicron wave has peaked, or is plateauing, in the places that were among the first to be hit hard by the variant.www.cnbc.com
Here it is for South Africa, looks like 2-3 weeks up and 2-3 weeks down:
As marz said South Africa was hit earlier with omicron. It’s Southern Hemisphere and 1st reports 24NOV21 so MMV.
Cases declining rapidly now.
Deaths are lagging.
Tracking Coronavirus in South Africa: Latest Case Count (Published 2023)
See the latest charts of coronavirus cases, deaths and vaccinations in South Africa.
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MarzNC
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- Jul 18, 2020
Keep in mind that as Omicron pushed out Delta, there were detected cases from both. What's impossible to know is how fast community spread of Omicron was really happening because there were probably more undetected cases. Seems clear that more people with Omicron have no symptoms or mild symptoms, even if they are not vaccinated.
People who have serious illness due to COVID-19 can be in big trouble. But they are a minority for any variant. The number of people who should be listed as "recovered" is greater than the number of people who were hospitalized around the world.
MarzNC
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- Jul 18, 2020
It really helps to limit the timeframe for any graph. Here is a look at South Africa and a few of the other African countries that were in travel bans imposed right after Omicron was identified and declared a Variant of Concern by WHO in late November 2021.
Even though looking at normalized data per million is a good idea for comparison, also should be aware of the population involved. South Africa is 60 million, Mozambique 32 million, Zimbabwe 19 million, and Namibia only about 3 million. I had Botswana in the graph at first but with only 3 million people the trend is not as useful. My impression is that the healthcare system of South Africa is the most developed. It's one of the best countries when it comes to genomic sequencing.
When I compare stats for US states I try to stick to the same region and about the same population. Comparing VT to NY is useless. Comparing FL with AL isn't any better. Comparing FL to NE is silly.
Remember the talk about "exponential growth" back in early 2020? Think about what happens when the timeframe for passing on COVID-19 is compressed. Doubling every 1-2 days leads to big numbers very, very quickly. It did in Italy and NYC in Feb-Apr 2020. It's happening again with Omicron. But the situation is very different in terms of immunity from both vaccination and recovery from COVID-19 in the last 12-18 months.
Even though looking at normalized data per million is a good idea for comparison, also should be aware of the population involved. South Africa is 60 million, Mozambique 32 million, Zimbabwe 19 million, and Namibia only about 3 million. I had Botswana in the graph at first but with only 3 million people the trend is not as useful. My impression is that the healthcare system of South Africa is the most developed. It's one of the best countries when it comes to genomic sequencing.
When I compare stats for US states I try to stick to the same region and about the same population. Comparing VT to NY is useless. Comparing FL with AL isn't any better. Comparing FL to NE is silly.
Remember the talk about "exponential growth" back in early 2020? Think about what happens when the timeframe for passing on COVID-19 is compressed. Doubling every 1-2 days leads to big numbers very, very quickly. It did in Italy and NYC in Feb-Apr 2020. It's happening again with Omicron. But the situation is very different in terms of immunity from both vaccination and recovery from COVID-19 in the last 12-18 months.
MarzNC
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- Jul 18, 2020
For those who read NY Times articles . . .
January 5, 2022
December 31, 2021
www.nytimes.com
December 28, 2021
www.nytimes.com
January 5, 2022
December 31, 2021
Studies Suggest Why Omicron Is Less Severe: It Spares the Lungs (Published 2021)
Compared with earlier variants, Omicron may cause less damage to the lungs, new animal research suggests.
December 28, 2021
Omicron Variant Might Help Defend Against Delta, Lab Study Suggests (Published 2021)
In the lab, antibodies produced during an Omicron infection protected against Delta. If Omicron dominates in the real world, that could lead to a less dire future.
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