Completely agree.
Not only has there not been a pandemic of this scale for a hundred years, no coronavirus has acted in the way SARS-CoV-2 does in terms of being spread quickly by people with no symptoms, including some who never have symptoms. Or such mild symptoms that they have no clue they had COVID-19 and were probably shedding virus for a few days.
My daughter is at one of the smaller campuses of the UNC system. She is at UNC Asheville, with about 4000 students. Happily there are no headlines for UNCA due to COVID-19. Most classes are online but there are a few meeting in person at lower capacity in re-arranged classrooms.
Duke Univ. is 20 min from UNC-Chapel Hill. It's small and private. Only freshmen and sophomores are allowed to move into a dorm. All students and staff are being tested. Out of the first 3000 tested the first few days, only 4 tested positive. After almost 6000 tests, there were 11 positive tests.
In short, each college is going to be dealing with a unique situation. Hopefully some will succeed. I'll be watching all the universities in the Triangle closely. I live within 30 minutes of UNC-Chapel Hill, Duke, and NC State.
I do want to say, because someone will certainly toss in the comment to stir the pot, but it isn’t about fear mongering. I’m not saying people should shutter themselves in for fear of this virus. We aren’t. However, there is a gamble, and often times when you wager you lose. It’s like going to a casino. Play the right game, and play it smart (that would be Blackjack) and you can improve your odds of success. I’d rather not treat this like a slot machine, just pull the lever and accept the shittiest of odds.
It’ll certainly be interesting to see where schools are by October. Heck, a week ago most of the schools around us had a hybrid model in place, now they are mostly shelving that to do remote learning until October. I have low confidence my son will finish the fall semester in Plattsburgh, but I hope he does.