Winter Weather 22/23

[NYSkiBlog]

It sounds like a significant ice storm is on tap for northern NY and VT through tomorrow night.

 

[saratogahalfday]

Thunder and lightning in Saratoga Springs this morning! Perfectly normal for mid-February.

 

[Temp6]

The south has been dealing with what seems like nonstop tornado activity this winter.

NOAA Satellite

 

[DomB]

NNJ 71F at 12:36
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You should start a thread for your NNJ thermostat : ) Trust me once you start a thread you'll love it : )

 

[NYSkiBlog]

GFS 240

 

[NYSkiBlog]

by a thread

 

[greymoose]

View attachment 18423
by a thread

Thursday/Friday looking to be pretty good at McCauley. That's where I hope to be.

 

[MC2]

View attachment 18423
by a thread

Should remind people that it’s not really an absolute temperature map (red=above freezing, blue=below), it’s just a map of temps relative to normal. We’d have to know the normal temps to discern whether a specific area would get snow/rain in the coming days (and I don’t know if I trust 8-14 day temp forecasts anyway).

 

[Harvey]

It's true, but.

I have rarely seen snow when you are in the brown. They average is a combination of troughs and ridges. When you are brown you are likely in a ridge, which is not conducive to snowfall.

 

[MC2]

It's true, but.

I have rarely seen snow when you are in the brown. They average is a combination of troughs and ridges. When you are brown you are likely in a ridge, which is not conducive to snowfall.

In an area with winter normal temps near freezing (eastern US), sure. In an area with colder temperatures, there are definitely snow events with “brown” coloring. Also, just because that map has a lot of blue in the summer, it doesn’t mean snow.

I just want people to know that It’s not a snow map, not really a temperature map, and all it’s showing you is the estimated likelihood of temps being above or below normal for a given time period (that is hard to predict)