ICE v Electric: Cost and Emissions

I was involved in supplying bulk electricity to industrial users in the 1990s. It was a different planet then.
Cranberry Lake hydroelectric plant could use some fixin up.
Fed’s are gonna fine them for lack of safety repairs, allegedly.
Isn’t hydropower cheap, clean and reliable?
 
Too funny not to share
While walking through our shop I stopped to visit with our Master Subaru Tech. He's in the middle of putting a new wiring harness in a plug in hybrid. I asked him, how's it going?? His reply -- "If this is our future we're going to be doing alot of fuckin walking". ?
 
Rivian is increasing their rate of production, with about 170 built in October or about 5 per day. And apparently some non-employee customers received delivery. Their 'intent' would then go to about 20 per day before year end to produce 1200 R1ts by year end. As TJ noted, they were producing 1-2 vehicles a day when they first filed.

From page 1 of the S-1 amendment filed today ( https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001874178/000119312521315537/d157488ds1a.htm )

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In the consumer market, we launched the R1 platform with our first-generation consumer vehicle, the R1T, a two-row five-passenger pickup truck, and began making customer deliveries in September 2021. As of September 30, 2021, we produced 12 R1Ts and delivered 11 R1Ts, and as of October 31, 2021, we produced 180 R1Ts and delivered 156 R1Ts. Nearly all of these vehicles were delivered to Rivian employees, and we expect to ramp deliveries to third-party customers as we increase our production rate. We plan to launch and commence customer deliveries for the R1S, a three-row seven-passenger sports utility vehicle (“SUV”) in December 2021 following the completion of ongoing vehicle validation and all required testing. By the end of 2021, we intend to produce approximately 1,200 R1Ts and 25 R1Ss and deliver approximately 1,000 R1Ts and 15 R1Ss.
Rivian update:

1. Bad-looking whistleblower claim by what I think was one of the top female executives at Rivian was filed.
2. Rivian updated its SEC filing. It is producing 100 R1 vehicles per week now, with the ramp goal of 1300 / week.
3. Interestingly, the Amazon type van has a higher goal, making some thing Rivian will announce a large non-Amazon van order.
 
Rivian update:

1. Bad-looking whistleblower claim by what I think was one of the top female executives at Rivian was filed.
2. Rivian updated its SEC filing. It is producing 100 R1 vehicles per week now, with the ramp goal of 1300 / week.
3. Interestingly, the Amazon type van has a higher goal, making some thing Rivian will announce a large non-Amazon van order.
Interesting quote from the summary - if they are correct, Normal Illinois will have a lot of jobs (plant location); they have filed to expand that plant. It is an old Mitisubishi plant that closed some time ago:


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Our diverse product portfolio and focus on inspiring people to get out and explore the world positions us to build an enduring brand while addressing a wide range of future mobility and sustainability solutions. Through our base of preorders, we observe strong affinity for our brand which we expect to intensify as brand awareness grows and we welcome new customers to the Rivian community. As of October 31, 2021, we had approximately 55,400 R1T and R1S preorders in the United States and Canada from customers who each paid a cancellable and fully refundable deposit of $1,000. We believe the combination of our deep focus on addressing climate change, building compelling products, and delivering a superior customer experience will enable Rivian to drive adoption and customer loyalty, powering our continued growth.

Based on our current production forecast, we expect to fill our preorder backlog of approximately 55,400 R1 vehicles by the end of 2023. Our manufacturing facility in Normal, Illinois (the “Normal Factory”) is currently equipped to produce up to 150,000 vehicles annually (distributed between the R1 platform, which will be used to produce the R1T and R1S, and the RCV platform, which will be used to produce EDVs and other commercial vehicles), when the equipment is operated at full rate and on multiple shifts. The current annual installed capacity for the R1 platform and RCV platform is approximately 65,000 and 85,000 vehicles, respectively. We produced 104 R1T vehicles during the last week of October 2021, representing approximately 8% of our target R1 production rate. Our target is to produce approximately

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1,310 R1 vehicles a week, which when annualized (assuming 49.6 working weeks per year), equates to the current installed R1 platform capacity of approximately 65,000 R1 vehicles annually. With respect to the RCV platform, our target is to produce approximately 1,710 commercial vehicles (including EDVs) a week, which when annualized (assuming 49.6 working weeks per year), equates to the current installed RCV platform capacity of approximately 85,000 vehicles annually. We expect our vehicle production rate will improve as we continue to increase the speed of the line, hire and train employees to run additional shifts, commence production of the R1S and EDVs, and increase the rate of purchased materials from our supply chain. We expect to reach a vehicle production rate, which, when annualized, would result in us using 100% of the facility’s current installed capacity of up to 150,000 vehicles by late 2023.
 
These two videos are by the same man. He had put money down on an R1T in June 2021. But is changing his mind and ordering an R1S instead. A big reason to change is that it's his wife who needs a work truck and the old Tacoma she had died a few months ago. Second video is his review after being invited to a Rivian event in Sept 2021 in Colorado for the R1T. From what I can tell, there were 8 influencers invited. He is not an off-roader at all. He's a Californian Tesla owner who probably bought one of the first models. Skip to Minute 7 if all you want to know is more about the R1S.


 
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