NYSkiBlog
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- Joined
- Jul 18, 2020
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
433 PM EST Thu Feb 15 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
A quick moving potent clipper low will bring snow along with
brisk and gusty winds to the area tonight into Friday. Another
weak disturbance will bring scattered snow showers and flurries
Friday night into Saturday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
Winter Storm Warning was expanded and now includes southern
Herkimer County along with northern Herkimer and Hamilton
counties until 1 pm Friday. Snowfall totals of 4 to 10 inches
with the higher amounts across central Herkimer County into
Hamilton County.
Winter Weather Advisory for snow remains in effect for Fulton,
Montgomery, northern Saratoga, Warren counties and southern
Vermont until 1 pm Friday. Snowfall totals 3 to 6 inches with
locally higher amounts up to 8 inches across the higher terrain
of southern Greene.
Wind Advisory has been expanded and is now effect for eastern
New York and western New England for wind gusts up to 50 mph.
This advisory begins to 10 pm and is in effect until 1 pm west
of the Hudson River Valley and until 4 pm for the Hudson River
Valley and to the east.
A dynamic fast moving clipper low will impact the area. The mid
and upper level trough will become negatively tilted as it moves
over the region. The airmass across the area the local area is
dry with dew points in the single digits. The atmosphere will
moist up as warm air advection snow overspreads the area this
evening as the vigorous short wave associated wit the clipper
approaches providing large scale ascent. The combined of strong
lift and moisture advection will result in a quick burst of
snowfall with the bulk of the snowfall occurring through this
evening north of I-90. For the west-southwest Adirondacks
orographic enhancement due to the strong south to southwest low-
level jet should increase snowfall rates in the southwest
Adirondacks prior to nightfall which was shown with local CSTAR
work with UAlbany.
After midnight the snow will become more intermittent in
general as the clipper begins to move off to the east. Winds
will shift to the west and increase becoming strong and gusty.
This westerly low level flow will become favorable for a lake
effect response down the Mohawk Valley, across the Capital
District with upslope snows into southern Vermont and the
Berkshire late at night/early Friday morning.
The strong and gusty westerly winds will result in blowing and
drifting of the snow especially where higher amounts occur.
National Weather Service Albany NY
433 PM EST Thu Feb 15 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
A quick moving potent clipper low will bring snow along with
brisk and gusty winds to the area tonight into Friday. Another
weak disturbance will bring scattered snow showers and flurries
Friday night into Saturday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
Winter Storm Warning was expanded and now includes southern
Herkimer County along with northern Herkimer and Hamilton
counties until 1 pm Friday. Snowfall totals of 4 to 10 inches
with the higher amounts across central Herkimer County into
Hamilton County.
Winter Weather Advisory for snow remains in effect for Fulton,
Montgomery, northern Saratoga, Warren counties and southern
Vermont until 1 pm Friday. Snowfall totals 3 to 6 inches with
locally higher amounts up to 8 inches across the higher terrain
of southern Greene.
Wind Advisory has been expanded and is now effect for eastern
New York and western New England for wind gusts up to 50 mph.
This advisory begins to 10 pm and is in effect until 1 pm west
of the Hudson River Valley and until 4 pm for the Hudson River
Valley and to the east.
A dynamic fast moving clipper low will impact the area. The mid
and upper level trough will become negatively tilted as it moves
over the region. The airmass across the area the local area is
dry with dew points in the single digits. The atmosphere will
moist up as warm air advection snow overspreads the area this
evening as the vigorous short wave associated wit the clipper
approaches providing large scale ascent. The combined of strong
lift and moisture advection will result in a quick burst of
snowfall with the bulk of the snowfall occurring through this
evening north of I-90. For the west-southwest Adirondacks
orographic enhancement due to the strong south to southwest low-
level jet should increase snowfall rates in the southwest
Adirondacks prior to nightfall which was shown with local CSTAR
work with UAlbany.
After midnight the snow will become more intermittent in
general as the clipper begins to move off to the east. Winds
will shift to the west and increase becoming strong and gusty.
This westerly low level flow will become favorable for a lake
effect response down the Mohawk Valley, across the Capital
District with upslope snows into southern Vermont and the
Berkshire late at night/early Friday morning.
The strong and gusty westerly winds will result in blowing and
drifting of the snow especially where higher amounts occur.
. 
