Winter Weather 23/24

Call me crazy, but I think winter turns much colder and snowier starting next week. I'm king of glad I'm blacked out from skiing this weekend though, Saturday looks miserable and then it looks like boilerplate with strong wind on Sunday.

National Weather Service Burlington VT
637 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 434 AM EST Wednesday...Another impactful low pressure system is
expected to move into the region late Friday night
. A strong low
will track to our West over the Great Lakes, very similar to the
current system impacting the region
although current trends suggest
the weekend system will be a weaker system in comparison. Strong
winds can be expected with this weekend storm as the 850mb jet
nearing 70 knots.
There is also the potential for some strong winds
on the backside of this system in the St. Lawrence Valley, with some
strong southwesterly winds at 925mb. Snow can be expected at the
onset of precipitation, with a transition to rain expected due to
southeasterly flow, although a transition back to snowfall can be
expected as colder air wraps into the region
. Some period of wintry
mix will be possible during the transition to rain, however there is
low confidence with precipitation type at this point to include in
the forecast. Temperatures next week look to be fairly
seasonable as we head into next week, generally in the teens to
upper 20s for highs and dropping into the teens and single
digits for lows. The next widespread precipitation for the
region looks to arrive Tuesday, however there is still a lot of
model uncertainty at this point.
 
Call me crazy, but I think winter turns much colder and snowier starting next week. I'm king of glad I'm blacked out from skiing this weekend though, Saturday looks miserable and then it looks like boilerplate with strong wind on Sunday.

National Weather Service Burlington VT
637 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2024

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 434 AM EST Wednesday...Another impactful low pressure system is
expected to move into the region late Friday night
. A strong low
will track to our West over the Great Lakes, very similar to the
current system impacting the region
although current trends suggest
the weekend system will be a weaker system in comparison. Strong
winds can be expected with this weekend storm as the 850mb jet
nearing 70 knots.
There is also the potential for some strong winds
on the backside of this system in the St. Lawrence Valley, with some
strong southwesterly winds at 925mb.
Batten down the hatches.
 
Feel like past 4 or 5 MLKs have been not good to downright bad.
My mind drifts back to the first year that MLK's birthday was a federal holiday.... The ex wife and I were in Lake Placid to ski. The Saint Lawrence Winter Carnival was that weekend. It was so cold, the pipes froze in Mount van Ho's lodge. Races cancelled.
 
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Eyeing a last minute trip up to Tremblant. They are looking to get all snow Saturday and got 8" last night with what looks like minimal mixed precip. Looks like anywhere between 6-12" for Saturday up there. I did this last year MLK and it worked out under a similar setup. Likely going to pull the trigger tonight if the models keep getting consensus on a solution.

I have IKON and not blacked out. It'll be packed but I'm guessing it'll be a lot better skiing than Gore given Saturdays forecast and I have Monday off for the holiday to accommodate the drive
 
Eyeing a last minute trip up to Tremblant. They are looking to get all snow Saturday and got 8" last night with what looks like minimal mixed precip. Looks like anywhere between 6-12" for Saturday up there. I did this last year MLK and it worked out under a similar setup. Likely going to pull the trigger tonight if the models keep getting consensus on a solution.

I have IKON and not blacked out. It'll be packed but I'm guessing it'll be a lot better skiing than Gore given Saturdays forecast and I have Monday off for the holiday to accommodate the drive
this might be a good call..they are on the edge tho...might be worth the risk
 
Light rain in thew Tri-Lakes. I think we're gonna hold on to the base and add more.
 
Eyeing a last minute trip up to Tremblant. They are looking to get all snow Saturday and got 8" last night with what looks like minimal mixed precip. Looks like anywhere between 6-12" for Saturday up there. I did this last year MLK and it worked out under a similar setup. Likely going to pull the trigger tonight if the models keep getting consensus on a solution.

I have IKON and not blacked out. It'll be packed but I'm guessing it'll be a lot better skiing than Gore given Saturdays forecast and I have Monday off for the holiday to accommodate the drive
Tremblant looking good, got a friend skiing there today. All snow, no MLK hordes.
 
Yup. Got one on my roof. Hear a bang and saw a big branch of an Old Maple on the roof.
Called the tree service I grunted for years ago.
They said they’s be up in the AM. Told them they’ll be busy.
Then the power went kaput for 3 hours.
The amazing crew gotter done before noon.
Tree gravity surgery got that beast off safely.
It was a big piece of ~200 year old Maple.
They're gonna be busy for awhile.
 
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