Winter Weather 21/22

[jasonwx]

What do we think about the Saturday event for the Daks? While it’s a ways out and track will be important (what else is new, and it’s March), but a number of forecasts are calling for a foot or more at elevation on Sat.

Headed up to WF, may try and get in Friday night to avoid travel issues….

Looks like a dose of heavy rain on Friday followed by a dose of heavy snow and 50 mph winds

 

[Harvey]

What do yo think Jason looking ahead, will skiing in NY last through March?

 

[saratogahalfday]

National Weather Service Burlington VT
334 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 332 PM EST Monday...Focus for the long-term continues to be on
the digging mid-level trough from the Northern Plains sewd across
the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley, and subsequent significant cyclogenesis
across the mid- atlantic states Friday night into Saturday morning.
Surface low is expected to track newd while deepening rapidly on
Saturday. The 12Z GFS indicates a 973mb surface low over
northwestern ME by 18Z Saturday. The 12Z ECMWF has shifted further
east than previous runs, with a 980mb low near PWM at 18Z Saturday.
The 12Z Canadian is similar to the ECMWF. Low-level air mass is
initially warm across across Vermont and Northern NY. Should see
rain developing late Friday night into Saturday morning, and have
already indicated 90% PoPs for Saturday. We`ll see significant
dynamical cooling as the low pressure system matures/intensifies,
along with an eastward moving frontal zone that the low is expected
to track along. Should see a W-E transition over to snow...first
across nrn NY, and gradually into VT Saturday afternoon/evening.
Elevation will play a role as well, with snow levels gradually
lowering to the valley floors. Current indications are that
frontogenetic forcing will be quite strong, thus could see some
rapid wet snow accumulations Saturday afternoon/night as thermal
profiles cool sufficiently to support snow despite marginal
boundary layer conditions. While it is too soon to talk amounts,
heavy snowfall rates could result in difficult travel later
Saturday/Saturday night before snow ends late Saturday night. We
will continue to monitor carefully.

Should see cold/blustery conditions on Sunday, with continued
mountain snow showers/flurries in moderately strong NWLY flow.
Should see highs on Sunday only in the 20s, with low wind chills
given NW winds 15-25 mph and gusts to 35 mph, especially during the
morning hours. Drier conditions expected Sunday night into Monday,
and temperatures should moderate back into the upper 30s to lower
40s for highs on Monday.

 

[Harvey]

75F here in NNJ at 2:30pm.

My house is 74 degrees and the thermostat is set at 70.

 

[rfreeman]

With the warm/wet weather and gas flying past $4.50/gal, this season is going to end very quickly.

Yeah the way gas prices are going makes it easier to accept less driving to ski areas than hoped for over the next month.

 

[tirolski]

Just let the hound out.
It’s white in the yard again.

 

[MC2]

Would like to ski Jay Peak on Sunday with the Indy Pass, but it looks like the chance of wind closure is high.

 

[saratogahalfday]

Would like to ski Jay Peak on Sunday with the Indy Pass, but it looks like the chance of wind closure is high.

That chance is very high. I'll be a Sugarbush, and am anticipating the same.

 

[Warp daddy]

Cold , Blustery and Crusty .

We still have 3-4'ft snowbanks but last nites shitty mixed precip screwed the snow up . It's like concrete out there this am .tried moving Nope ,useless . Hate this crap

 

[Campgottagopee]

Is it just me or is Saturday getting interesting