The 1st storm this weekend should be a fun snowy winter storm.
The 2nd one midweek looks to be a dang shitshow.
Winter Weather 23/24
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The 2nd one midweek looks to be a dang shitshow.
DomB
Well-known member
- Joined
- Aug 25, 2020
Get it while you can!
saratogahalfday
Well-known member
- Joined
- Jul 22, 2020
Accuweather is pretty slow on updates, right now they have "A little morning snow; otherwise, cloudy" with a high of 46 in Saratoga Springs for next Wednesday.
DomB
Well-known member
- Joined
- Aug 25, 2020
Just the facts, sir : )
NWS Albany
National Weather Service
forecast.weather.gov
Potential multi-hazard, highly impactful storm late Tuesday into
Wednesday is the main highlight for the long term. Deep low pressure
will track into the Ohio Valley and then toward eastern Great Lakes
during this time, with 00Z/05 GEFS consensus MSLP anomalies of at
least -3 SD. Strong low level jet with -U/+V H925 and H850 wind
anomalies of 3 to 4+ SD, and PWAT anomalies of at least +2-3 SD
should ensure a moisture-laden storm along with strong gusty winds.
Initially, there could be a lead burst of snow late Tuesday or
Tuesday evening, especially across higher elevations north of I-90,
which could transition to a wintry mix before changing to rain, with
mainly rain across the mid Hudson Valley and NW CT. A period of
heavy rain is quite possible across the SE Catskills, mid Hudson
Valley and NW CT, and trends will need to be watched closely given
possible antecedent snowpack and rapid melting combined with the
heavy rainfall for possible flooding. In addition, strong
southeast/east winds will be possible Tuesday night, especially
across higher terrain areas (particularly the Taconics, southern
Greens and Berkshires), followed by potentially strong west winds in
the wake of the storm for Wednesday-Wednesday night.
There could be some lake effect snow in the wake of the storm across
portions of the SW Adirondacks and Mohawk Valley late Wednesday
night into Thursday.
Otherwise, generally dry and chilly conditions for Monday through
Tuesday morning as high pressure shifts eastward across the
region.
Emphasis added.
Endoftheline
Well-known member
- Joined
- Jul 21, 2020
I don't think we will have to worry about more flooding in most of the Adirondacks, unless it's caused by excessive rainfall, because there is very little snow to melt after the last major meltdown. Very Sad.NWS Albany
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...National Weather Service
Potential multi-hazard, highly impactful storm late Tuesday into
Wednesday is the main highlight for the long term. Deep low pressure
will track into the Ohio Valley and then toward eastern Great Lakes
during this time, with 00Z/05 GEFS consensus MSLP anomalies of at
least -3 SD. Strong low level jet with -U/+V H925 and H850 wind
anomalies of 3 to 4+ SD, and PWAT anomalies of at least +2-3 SD
should ensure a moisture-laden storm along with strong gusty winds.
Initially, there could be a lead burst of snow late Tuesday or
Tuesday evening, especially across higher elevations north of I-90,
which could transition to a wintry mix before changing to rain, with
mainly rain across the mid Hudson Valley and NW CT. A period of
heavy rain is quite possible across the SE Catskills, mid Hudson
Valley and NW CT, and trends will need to be watched closely given
possible antecedent snowpack and rapid melting combined with the
heavy rainfall for possible flooding. In addition, strong
southeast/east winds will be possible Tuesday night, especially
across higher terrain areas (particularly the Taconics, southern
Greens and Berkshires), followed by potentially strong west winds in
the wake of the storm for Wednesday-Wednesday night.
There could be some lake effect snow in the wake of the storm across
portions of the SW Adirondacks and Mohawk Valley late Wednesday
night into Thursday.
Otherwise, generally dry and chilly conditions for Monday through
Tuesday morning as high pressure shifts eastward across the
region.
Emphasis added.
Neither in CNY except for a few low spots but it’d be nice if the blobs of wet stuff would stop and it’d stay below freezing for awhile.
SayvilleSteve
Well-known member
- Joined
- Aug 7, 2020
There is a storm coming between now and this event that is forecast to drop 6-12" in many places. That's what would be melting and potentially cause the flooding.
