Adirondack Johnny
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- Jul 25, 2020
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Winter Weather 23/24
- Thread starter NYSkiBlog
- Start date
NYSkiBlog
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- Jul 18, 2020
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
620 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2024
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The cold front stalls near the NY/PA border with clouds lingering
and a slight chance of light snow late in the day south and west of
the Capital Region, as attention shifts to low pressure organizing
over the Deep South and lifting northeast towards the Mid Atlantic
Region and Ohio Valley by 00Z/SUN. The ensembles /GEFS and NAEFS/
and medium range deterministic guidance /GFS..CMC..and ECMWF/ this
cycle still show a lot of spread on the track and evolution with a
negatively tilted mid and upper level trough that a cyclone quickly
moves near the Delmarva Region to near southeast New England by
Sunday morning. The guidance shows differences on the spread of the
moisture with the system with perhaps a sharp cut-off for locations
north and west of the Capital Region. Still too early to get into
specifics, but some snow accumulations look possible for a good
portion of the region. The question remains if it will be moderate
to heavy, so confidence remains low as PoPs have been kept in the
chance to low likely range. The system pulls east of the Northeast
by Sunday afternoon with some lingering snow showers. Temps for the
weekend look seasonable with 20s to lower to mid 30s for highs and
lows in the upper teens to 20s.
National Weather Service Albany NY
620 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2024
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The cold front stalls near the NY/PA border with clouds lingering
and a slight chance of light snow late in the day south and west of
the Capital Region, as attention shifts to low pressure organizing
over the Deep South and lifting northeast towards the Mid Atlantic
Region and Ohio Valley by 00Z/SUN. The ensembles /GEFS and NAEFS/
and medium range deterministic guidance /GFS..CMC..and ECMWF/ this
cycle still show a lot of spread on the track and evolution with a
negatively tilted mid and upper level trough that a cyclone quickly
moves near the Delmarva Region to near southeast New England by
Sunday morning. The guidance shows differences on the spread of the
moisture with the system with perhaps a sharp cut-off for locations
north and west of the Capital Region. Still too early to get into
specifics, but some snow accumulations look possible for a good
portion of the region. The question remains if it will be moderate
to heavy, so confidence remains low as PoPs have been kept in the
chance to low likely range. The system pulls east of the Northeast
by Sunday afternoon with some lingering snow showers. Temps for the
weekend look seasonable with 20s to lower to mid 30s for highs and
lows in the upper teens to 20s.
Campgottagopee
Well-known member
- Joined
- Jul 20, 2020
Pathway to winter | ilsnow.com
Darrin @ ilsnow.com says winter is well behind schedule, but changes are finally coming!
ilsnow.com
Endoftheline
Well-known member
- Joined
- Jul 21, 2020
Mount Washington Observatory shows December was 8.9 degrees above average, that's huge in weather stats.
jasonwx
Well-known member
- Joined
- Jul 22, 2020
late sat night to sunday
Endoftheline
Well-known member
- Joined
- Jul 21, 2020
Desperate times call for desperate measures. Getting ready to put the summer tires back on, put the snowblower away and put the gutters back up.
MarzNC
Well-known member
- Joined
- Jul 18, 2020
Temperatures in central NC forecasted to go down into the 20s tonight. Snowmaking going full steam ahead in the NC and VA mountains. WV got several inches of natural snow, plus have had all the snowguns firing. Snowshoe opened up the Western Territory for the first time.
