AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
634 AM EST Sat Jan 14 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
Temperatures will return back to normal chilly January
values this weekend, with a brisk northerly wind making it feel
colder. Partly to mostly cloudy skies today will give way to mostly
sunny skies Sunday and Monday. The next chance for precipitation
will be Tuesday into Tuesday night.
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.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The long-wave pattern that has brought heavy precipitation to
California and a steady stream of weather systems moving east across
the CONUS appears to continue into early next week, then some
changes will occur with ridging building along the west coast by
late next week. This pattern change could eventually result in more
of a trough and colder pattern over the eastern CONUS at some point
later this month, however the models are now in agreement that
ridging is going to develop near and southeast of Florida later next
week, which will prevent a trough from becoming established over the
eastern CONUS, at least through next week.
This pattern will result in two storm systems tracking from
California, east-northeast toward the Great Lakes and northeast next
week, resulting in precipitation chances Tuesday and again Thursday-
Friday. Temperatures will remain above normal, so that the
precipitation type will favor rain over snow on Tuesday, with some
wintry mix possible, especially across the north. The p-type
Thursday-Friday is still uncertain. The system on Tuesday will
probably be weakening as it approaches the east coast and
becomes blocked by a storm moving slowly north toward the
Canadian maritimes. The system late next week may be stronger,
however at that time range there is still lots of uncertainty.