DomB
Well-known member
- Joined
- Aug 25, 2020
I am pretty sure every American has paid cash for a depreciating asset. You can make an argument that that is better than taking on debt to do it. The reason you/we pay interest is to compensate someone for giving us money now. That is, debt to some degree restricts our future choices/cash flow. Is what it is, and may be a good play or a bad play.I was thinking of breaking it out:
Paying Cash for a Depreciating Asset while the Equity Markets Rise
Honestly I think I've done that ^^ before. Can you still get a hall pass if you are also investing in stocks at the same time?
At least once, maybe twice, I wrapped a car into a refi. That seemed kind of dicey to me, but hey.
Yes, over the long haul you can arbitrage with a 3-5% car loan and 7% in the market after inflation and taxes, but keep in mind there are years where the market goes up 30% and down 30% (2 of those types of cycles in the past 12 years).
And, yes, imo, you get a free pass if you are also investing at the same time.
Benny had a few good bullet points about the market, but he noted you can get nailed by timing. The antidote to that (or rather the mitigant) is don't time: just keep investing over time. It doesn't matter if it is 80 a month, or 800 etc. (Yes, of course any investing can be a challenge if like so many of us people are starting out with a negative net worth). Yes, at some point you draw down, but there are plenty of drawdown calculators that show even if you retired in '08, there are relatively safe rules of thumb on what you can withdraw. Many folks have posted about it, but check out tools like firecalc on the google machine.
These are strange times. As camp noted, terrible depreciating assets like cars are actually going up in value. Never heard of used cars going up in value (absent classics etc) pre Covid.