Fall Weather 2021

Screen Shot 2021-10-31 at 6.55.35 PM.png


From OpenSnow. Apparently Alyeska got 4 inches of rain when the lower mountain was around 32 degrees. Obviously higher up that meant lots of snow.
 
We have a cold front moving through, this is producing little if any precipitation. But it is going to bring colder air, and brisk Northwest winds gusting over 20mph at times for today into Tuesday. Those easts of the Lakes will be dealing with some lake effect rain showers.
Wednesday a secondary push of cold air will move into the region. This cold air is going to have some staying power.
Tonight, through Thursday Lake effect snow can be expected down wind of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. Those in the higher elevations east of Lake Erie and the Tug Hill off Lake Ontario, will likely see there first accumulating snow event, Tuesday night and Wednesday.
We won’t be measuring it in feet, but a few inches will be possible. With the cold air a few snow flurries are going to be possible in the higher elevations, especially across the Adirondacks, Greens and Whites. But for most of us, away from the Big Lakes, Wednesday and Thursday should be fairly quiet and dry.
By Wednesday night into Thursday morning the first frost/freeze of the season is likely in parts of the I-95 Corridor
Friday a system will develop in the Southeast this will move north and east, depending on how it tracks, we could be dealing with some rain and perhaps some snow for parts of the interior Northeast and Mid-Atlantic.

 
Middletown NY forecast????????
We are flirting with the 30s, this morning. Current temperatures range from 33°F-43°F across Orange County. The Compound started the day at 40°F.

FREEZE WARNING ⚠️ in effect for tonight into early Wednesday morning. FROST and FREEZE conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. Damage is possible to unprotected outdoor plumbing.

A HARD FREEZE with temperatures falling well into the 20s is expected Wednesday night into early Thursday morning.

A week of cold and cooler weather is expected before a warming trend potentially occurs. Look at the cold and then anticipated warmth at the end:

High today, 50°F-55°F.
Low tonight, 28°F-36°F.

High Wednesday, 46°F-50°F.
Low Wednesday night, 23°F-34°F.

High Thursday, 45°F-50°F.
Low Thursday night, 25°F-34°F.

High Friday, 48°F-52°F.
Low Friday night, 23°F-34°F.

High Saturday, 46°F-50°F.
Low Saturday night, 23°F-34°F.

High Sunday, 48°F-52°F.
Low Sunday night, 25°F-36°F.

High Monday, 55°F-59°F.
Low Monday night, 36°F-41°F.

High next Tuesday, 49°F-54°F.
Low next Tuesday night, 32°F-43°F.

High next Wednesday, 61°F-64°F.
Low next Wednesday night, 45°F-48°F.

High next Thursday, 66°F-70°F.

It looks like a relatively dry period too. If you plan on clearing and moving leaves, it looks like a breeze exists today and Wednesday and then a stronger wind returns Monday and next Tuesday. It helps to know.

Today, some morning sun but skies look to become mostly cloudy to overcast. There is a weather system that stays to our south. Clear skies tonight will let the cold seep into our area.

Wednesday, mostly sunny. A slight chance of a passing scattered shower or even snow shower to our northwest.

Thursday, morning patchy fog that may freeze on surfaces then some morning sun. An overcast afternoon.

Friday through Monday. Morning patches of fog that could freeze on surfaces. Mostly sunny skies each day.

Next Tuesday and next Wednesday, mixed skies. It becomes overcast by Wednesday night.

Next Thursday, more clouds than sun.

Keep watching
 
Snow showers and squalls continue this morning in Northern Vermont! I haven't heard if they've officially announced the Smugglers Notch closure but Stowe PD looked to be in the process of shutting down RT 108 at the Barnes Camp winter gate (1,500ft). We'll see if they officially announce their intentions for the road going forward, as its getting to be that time of year.

Accumulating snow has fallen from 1,200ft and above in the Mansfield to Jay Peak stretch of the Northern Greens overnight and this morning. 3" in the past 24 hours has fallen above 3,000ft on Mansfield. Even the lower elevations have seen some flakes, with the Morrisville-Stowe (MVL) Airport on RT 100 reporting their first "Light Snow" of the season. Even hearing reports of frozen precipitation in the Burlington area.

Current radar shows we should see a few more rounds of snow showers and squally weather through late morning with the passage of the upper level trough axis. The upper level trough is providing deep layer support for lift over top the low level orographics.... and we should see the activity spread southward down the Spine into the Sugarbush/MRG area as we head towards midday.

Overall nothing major but nice to see. A quick additional 1-3" seem possible above 2,000ft with another dusting to 1" down to 1,000ft is possible through early afternoon. That might nudge some of the northern Green summits into the 3-6" range over 34-36 hours.
 
Back
Top