With the departure of Joe Bastardi, it looks like Henry Margusity may be the new go-to-guy for long-term winter weather forecasting at Accuweather. He just posted the snowfall forecast map above with his preliminary call for the winter of 2011-2012. Obviously it’s a long way off, but we like the way it looks. An excerpt from the full forecast:
“The basis of the forecast is on the prediction that a weak La Nina will be forming this fall and continuing through the winter. While the pattern will be similar to last year, there will be changes in the pattern that will lead to the heavy snow areas shown on the map.
I am not convinced that blocking will be prevalent across Greenland this winter, however, with the trough axis predicted to be in the Midwest, that will lead to storms developing along the East coast and racing northeast. The cold will be back in the Appalachians, and that will lead to heavy snow in that area. The major cities will probably be fighting many mix precip storms with the snow lovers along the I-95 corridor pulling their hair over heavy snow versus ice and rain.”